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Author: Jason Godwin

Private sector weather forecaster in Norman, OK. B.S. in Meteorology from University of Oklahoma (2012). M.S. in Meteorology and Physical Oceanography from University of Miami (2014).
May 2, 2018: Another Round of Severe Weather in the Central Plains

May 2, 2018: Another Round of Severe Weather in the Central Plains

Update: 9:00 PM CDT May 2 While it looks like things have not been too bad in the Oklahoma City area, there have been a few tornado warnings. The most interesting looking storm at the moment is what could be a possible tornado embedded in a line of thunderstorms that just passed through the northeast side of Norman, Oklahoma. Radar showed rotational velocity of about 30 knots, which while not terribly strong, was at an altitude of only 300 feet….

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May 1, 2018: Moderate Risk in the Central Plains

May 1, 2018: Moderate Risk in the Central Plains

Update: 9:15 PM Tuesday Taking a look at today’s storm reports from SPC, it looks like we have had quite the severe weather day. As of this writing, there are 20 tornado reports (note that some of these reports are likely the same tornado, so the actual number of tornadoes is almost certainly less than this number), 15 damaging wind reports (including a wind gust to 80 MPH near Wymore, Neb.), and an astounding 116 large hail reports (the largest…

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10/21/2017: Enhanced Risk for Severe Weather

10/21/2017: Enhanced Risk for Severe Weather

Since Wednesday morning, the Storm Prediction Center has been highlighting a potential for severe weather across much of Oklahoma and parts of North Texas. Since Thursday morning, SPC has had an “Enhanced” risk across these same areas, with today’s Day One Convective Outlook continuing to show the Enhanced risk. Taking a look at morning observations, in the upper levels, a highly amplified trough is noted across the Rocky Mountains. The absolute vorticity maximum associated with this trough is over Northwestern…

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9/12/2017: Heat returning to Texas

9/12/2017: Heat returning to Texas

Main surface feature of interest this morning in the region is the remnant low of Hurricane Irma now positioned over the Tennessee Valley. Some high clouds from Irma are actually spreading over Northeast Texas this morning, but besides these high clouds, Irma will not bring much in terms of sensible impacts to Texas. Otherwise, surface observations show another mild morning with 60s across interior Texas, and 70s along the Gulf Coast. At the upper-levels, this morning’s 500 mb analysis shows…

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09/05/2017: First Fall Cold Front

09/05/2017: First Fall Cold Front

It has been a while (quite a while) since I have written in this blog, but I am going to try to get back into the swing of things. The main weather story here in the Lone Star State right now (other than the recovery from Hurricane Harvey) is the first fall cold front that is now passing through the state. As I write this, DFW Airport is sitting at a lovely 75/52 (i.e. temperature/dewpoint for the uninitiated) with north-northeasterly…

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Weather Discussion for 03/21/2017

Weather Discussion for 03/21/2017

On social media (i.e. “Weather Twitter”), there has been a lot of discussion this morning regarding several potential upcoming severe episodes. Today, rather than my usual style blog post, I was going to take a look at a few of these upcoming potential setups. Before we proceed: this is a medium to long range forecast. Take this with a tiny grain of salt. All usual forecast disclaimers and “this is my own personal opinion” disclaimers apply now as they always…

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Weather Discussion for 03/20/2017

Weather Discussion for 03/20/2017

Analysis: Upper-air charts show a stout ridge in place over the South-Central United States this morning, which should keep our weather dry for the next few days. At the surface, a weak surface low is noted near Wichita, KS, with a dryline extending southwest across western Oklahoma and into the Texas Panhandle. Temperatures are in the mid to upper 60s east of the dryline, with temperatures in the upper 40s to lower 50s behind the dryline. These cooler temperatures are…

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Weather Discussion for 02/28/2017

Weather Discussion for 02/28/2017

Yesterday: This time yesterday, isolated, but severe thunderstorms were already underway across parts of North Texas. By the end of the day, there were 17 hail reports across North Texas, most of which came from one supercell that tracked across Johnson, Ellis, Kaufman, and Van Zandt Counties. Another storm that developed over Collin County produced hail in Frisco. Analysis:¬†Surface analysis this morning shows a surface low near Lincoln, NE, with an associated cold front extending to the southwest across the…

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Weather Discussion for 02/27/2017

Weather Discussion for 02/27/2017

Analysis: Radar this morning shows a few thunderstorms south and southwest of the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex. One of these thunderstorms (over Johnson and Ellis Counties) has even become severe, prompting a Severe Thunderstorm Warning. These thunderstorms are developing in a warm-air advection regime that is in place across the eastern two-thirds of Texas ahead of a dryline stretched roughly along a line from Childress to Fort Stockton. The nose of a 100+ knot jet streak overspreading the region is assisting…

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Weather Discussion for 02/24/2017

Weather Discussion for 02/24/2017

Analysis: After record warm heat yesterday where many places in Texas hit 90s, much cooler temperatures are spreading into the region. A cold front this morning is analyzed roughly from Paris to San Angelo. Behind this cold front, temperatures are in the 40s with even some 30s noted in the Texas Panhandle. Winds are also quite elevated, with sustained winds of 15-25 knots behind the front. This cold front should continue to make its way across the state through today,…

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