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Author: Jason Godwin

Private sector weather forecaster in Norman, OK. B.S. in Meteorology from University of Oklahoma (2012). M.S. in Meteorology and Physical Oceanography from University of Miami (2014).
Heavy Rainfall Likely in North Texas

Heavy Rainfall Likely in North Texas

A slow-moving cold front is forecast to bring heavy rainfall to much of North Texas beginning Friday and into the weekend. WPC is forecasting widespread totals of 2-3 inches of rain across most of North Texas over the next 72 hours, with locally higher amounts in excess of 6 inches possible in some locations. Given the recent heavy rainfall, flash flooding will certainly be possible. This heavy rain is expected to begin over parts of the Big Country and up…

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Week of 9/17/18: Weather expected to remain quiet.

Week of 9/17/18: Weather expected to remain quiet.

It looks like a fairly quiet week is expected for Texas for most of the week. The only stories will be the continued minor to moderate flooding along the Nueces and Frio River in South Texas, and then the daily chances for scattered thunderstorms across much of the state. Starting with the river flooding, the Nueces River near Tilden (McMullen County) is in moderate flood stage, and is expected to remain at moderate stage through the rest of the week,…

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Hurricane Florence

Hurricane Florence

We have been tracking Hurricane Florence for several days now, and it is now sitting just off the North Carolina coast. As of the latest NHC position report, Florence is about 45 miles south-southwest of Morehead City, NC. Wind gusts to hurricane force are already being reported onshore, with a wind gust to 86 MPH measured at Jacksonville, NC earlier this evening. Taking a look at the Wilmington, NC radar, the eyewall is sitting just offshore, with some fairly strong…

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May 2, 2018: Another Round of Severe Weather in the Central Plains

May 2, 2018: Another Round of Severe Weather in the Central Plains

Update: 9:00 PM CDT May 2 While it looks like things have not been too bad in the Oklahoma City area, there have been a few tornado warnings. The most interesting looking storm at the moment is what could be a possible tornado embedded in a line of thunderstorms that just passed through the northeast side of Norman, Oklahoma. Radar showed rotational velocity of about 30 knots, which while not terribly strong, was at an altitude of only 300 feet….

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May 1, 2018: Moderate Risk in the Central Plains

May 1, 2018: Moderate Risk in the Central Plains

Update: 9:15 PM Tuesday Taking a look at today’s storm reports from SPC, it looks like we have had quite the severe weather day. As of this writing, there are 20 tornado reports (note that some of these reports are likely the same tornado, so the actual number of tornadoes is almost certainly less than this number), 15 damaging wind reports (including a wind gust to 80 MPH near Wymore, Neb.), and an astounding 116 large hail reports (the largest…

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10/21/2017: Enhanced Risk for Severe Weather

10/21/2017: Enhanced Risk for Severe Weather

Since Wednesday morning, the Storm Prediction Center has been highlighting a potential for severe weather across much of Oklahoma and parts of North Texas. Since Thursday morning, SPC has had an “Enhanced” risk across these same areas, with today’s Day One Convective Outlook continuing to show the Enhanced risk. Taking a look at morning observations, in the upper levels, a highly amplified trough is noted across the Rocky Mountains. The absolute vorticity maximum associated with this trough is over Northwestern…

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9/12/2017: Heat returning to Texas

9/12/2017: Heat returning to Texas

Main surface feature of interest this morning in the region is the remnant low of Hurricane Irma now positioned over the Tennessee Valley. Some high clouds from Irma are actually spreading over Northeast Texas this morning, but besides these high clouds, Irma will not bring much in terms of sensible impacts to Texas. Otherwise, surface observations show another mild morning with 60s across interior Texas, and 70s along the Gulf Coast. At the upper-levels, this morning’s 500 mb analysis shows…

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09/05/2017: First Fall Cold Front

09/05/2017: First Fall Cold Front

It has been a while (quite a while) since I have written in this blog, but I am going to try to get back into the swing of things. The main weather story here in the Lone Star State right now (other than the recovery from Hurricane Harvey) is the first fall cold front that is now passing through the state. As I write this, DFW Airport is sitting at a lovely 75/52 (i.e. temperature/dewpoint for the uninitiated) with north-northeasterly…

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Weather Discussion for 03/21/2017

Weather Discussion for 03/21/2017

On social media (i.e. “Weather Twitter”), there has been a lot of discussion this morning regarding several potential upcoming severe episodes. Today, rather than my usual style blog post, I was going to take a look at a few of these upcoming potential setups. Before we proceed: this is a medium to long range forecast. Take this with a tiny grain of salt. All usual forecast disclaimers and “this is my own personal opinion” disclaimers apply now as they always…

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Weather Discussion for 03/20/2017

Weather Discussion for 03/20/2017

Analysis: Upper-air charts show a stout ridge in place over the South-Central United States this morning, which should keep our weather dry for the next few days. At the surface, a weak surface low is noted near Wichita, KS, with a dryline extending southwest across western Oklahoma and into the Texas Panhandle. Temperatures are in the mid to upper 60s east of the dryline, with temperatures in the upper 40s to lower 50s behind the dryline. These cooler temperatures are…

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