Analysis: After record warm heat yesterday where many places in Texas hit 90s, much cooler temperatures are spreading into the region. A cold front this morning is analyzed roughly from Paris to San Angelo. Behind this cold front, temperatures are in the 40s with even some 30s noted in the Texas Panhandle. Winds are also quite elevated, with sustained winds of 15-25 knots behind the front. This cold front should continue to make its way across the state through today, with little in the way of precipitation expected ahead of it.
Forecast: Quiet weather is expected through the next couple of days as zonal mid-level flow overspread the region. Temperatures should be near to a little above seasonal averages. The next upper-level trough will approach the region Sunday evening. There should be enough moisture to result in some shower and thunderstorm development, but very weak instability should keep any thunderstorms below severe limits. On Monday and Tuesday, additional upper-level shortwave troughs may bring rain and thunderstorm chances to East Texas, but again, the severe potential should be limited by weak instability (though a higher chance for severe weather may exist on Tuesday across portions of Arkansas and Louisiana).