Jason's Texas Weather and Adventure Blog

Storms, hiking, and other adventures in the Lone Star State.

Weather Discussion for 02/21/2017

Analysis: A cold front is pushing through Texas this morning, bringing cooler and drier conditions in its wake. Walking outside this morning here in the Metroplex, it felt almost fall-like with temperatures in the upper 50s along with a breezy northwesterly wind. Needless to say, it feels quite lovely after all the humidity! At any rate, this cold front should continue to push across the state the rest of this morning and early afternoon. The cold front passage will be dry, with no precipitation expected. The only weather concern today will be for some slightly elevated fire conditions across the Panhandle and into the Permian Basin.

Surface analysis for February 21, 2017 at 1400Z. Image source: NWS/Weather Prediction Center.

Forecast: The weather should remain quiet and pleasant across the state during the next few days as upper-level ridging builds in across the Southern Plains. Warm temperatures are expected however, with near-record highs possible across portions of West and North Texas on Wednesday and Thursday. An upper-level trough will pass north of Texas by late week, pushing a cold front through Thursday night and Friday. This cold front passage still looks to be dry. Temperatures will return to near-seasonal averages following the front, with lows below freezing possible in the Texas Panhandle on Friday morning. Temperatures will quickly rebound over the weekend as winds return out of the south to southwest. The next chance for meaningful precipitation still looks a ways off – next Wednesday at the earliest, but timing differences still exist between major global models. Hopefully, we will start to get a better idea over the weekend.

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