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Month: February 2017

Weather Discussion for 02/28/2017

Weather Discussion for 02/28/2017

Yesterday: This time yesterday, isolated, but severe thunderstorms were already underway across parts of North Texas. By the end of the day, there were 17 hail reports across North Texas, most of which came from one supercell that tracked across Johnson, Ellis, Kaufman, and Van Zandt Counties. Another storm that developed over Collin County produced hail in Frisco. Analysis: Surface analysis this morning shows a surface low near Lincoln, NE, with an associated cold front extending to the southwest across the…

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Weather Discussion for 02/27/2017

Weather Discussion for 02/27/2017

Analysis: Radar this morning shows a few thunderstorms south and southwest of the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex. One of these thunderstorms (over Johnson and Ellis Counties) has even become severe, prompting a Severe Thunderstorm Warning. These thunderstorms are developing in a warm-air advection regime that is in place across the eastern two-thirds of Texas ahead of a dryline stretched roughly along a line from Childress to Fort Stockton. The nose of a 100+ knot jet streak overspreading the region is assisting…

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Weather Discussion for 02/24/2017

Weather Discussion for 02/24/2017

Analysis: After record warm heat yesterday where many places in Texas hit 90s, much cooler temperatures are spreading into the region. A cold front this morning is analyzed roughly from Paris to San Angelo. Behind this cold front, temperatures are in the 40s with even some 30s noted in the Texas Panhandle. Winds are also quite elevated, with sustained winds of 15-25 knots behind the front. This cold front should continue to make its way across the state through today,…

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Weather Discussion for 02/23/2017

Weather Discussion for 02/23/2017

Analysis: A strong surface low continues to develop over the Southern Plains in response to an upper-level trough digging into the Central Rockies. This has led to strong southerly to southwesterly flow across Texas this afternoon. As a result, temperatures have soared into the mid 80s across much of North, Central, and West Texas. As of this writing, it is already 86 F at both Stephenville and Graham, and with several hours of solar heating still to go, it is likely…

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Weather Discussion for 02/21/2017

Weather Discussion for 02/21/2017

Analysis: A cold front is pushing through Texas this morning, bringing cooler and drier conditions in its wake. Walking outside this morning here in the Metroplex, it felt almost fall-like with temperatures in the upper 50s along with a breezy northwesterly wind. Needless to say, it feels quite lovely after all the humidity! At any rate, this cold front should continue to push across the state the rest of this morning and early afternoon. The cold front passage will be…

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Weather Discussion for 2/20/2017

Weather Discussion for 2/20/2017

Yesterday/Last Night: Widespread rain and thunderstorms are ongoing this morning across most of Texas east of I-35. This is the rain that has been forecast for several days. As expected, severe weather and heavy rainfall were both observed across Texas. The National Weather Service received over 50 reports of damaging wind gusts yesterday and last night, verifying the predictions that the severe weather threat would primarily be damaging winds. In addition to the widespread wind reports, at least one tornado was…

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Weather Discussion for 02/17/2017

Weather Discussion for 02/17/2017

Analysis: A few light rain showers are occurring this morning over eastern portions of Texas. These showers are occurring in response to an upper-level low moving across Texas. While moisture is limited across most of the state, enough moisture was noted on the coastal sounding sites at Brownsville and Corpus Christi to get these showers going. Forecast: The upper-level low should exit the state by Saturday morning, leading to riding aloft. This ridging will bring warm and dry conditions to…

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Weather Discussion for 2/16/17

Weather Discussion for 2/16/17

Analysis: Winds across Texas have turned out of the south or southwest in response to a developing trough of low pressure along the lee of the Rocky Mountains. This has resulted in temperatures this morning being slightly warmer than they were this time yesterday. In the upper levels, a cut-off low is noted over northern Mexico. This low should move northeast across Texas during the next 36 hours. Despite the enhanced lift from this upper-level low, deep dry air is noted…

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Weather Discussion for February 15, 2017

Weather Discussion for February 15, 2017

Analysis: Morning surface analysis shows that the cold front that pushed through Texas yesterday is now well out over the Gulf of Mexico. High pressure is building in behind this cold front, with a 1032 mb high noted over southwest Wyoming. Weak cold air advection continues across the state. Visible satellite imagery shows clear skies (save for some high cirrus here and there) across most of Texas, except for the Southeast where clouds persist, but should be moving out later…

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